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One of them will be rumor for sure - Wells Fargo to Repay TARP Without Raising New Equity

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  • insider selling continues to accelerate for a number of sectors, while insider buying remains 'virtually nonexistent
    • FDIC releases Q2 stats: 'Problem banks' jumped to 416 from 305 in Q1, the highest in 15 years.
      Deposit insurance fund fell to $10.4B from $13B in Q1 (protecting more than $4.5T). Bank loan loss provisions rose to $66.9B from $60.8B. U.S. banking industry had a net loss of $3.7B from profit of $7.6B in Q1. 4 Comments
    • Data released Thursday painted a gloomy picture of the state of banking. FDIC Insurance Fund Shrinks to $10.4 Billion.
    • Little Light at the End of FDIC's Long Tunnel - C and BAC are not on the FDIC’s list because they have received hundreds of billions of dollars of government support. Adding them to it would multiply total problem assets 10 times, to $3 trillion.
      In total, FDIC estimates the banking sector is wrestling with $332 billion worth of loans and leases on which borrowers have stopped making payments. That excludes hundreds of billions worth of underwater loans that may be current now but will ultimately default. Many banks, including the largest ones, are likely to struggle for some time.

      And that’s the bigger story here. Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC) have received hundreds of billions of dollars of government support, but, precisely because of that support, they’re not on the FDIC’s list. Adding them to it would multiply total problem assets 10 times, to $3 trillion.
    • Three more banks were closed by regulators Friday, bringing the 2009 toll to 84
    • Rumors that Wells Fargo is in trouble
      • 买了faz 30 call,hedge the risk
        • VIX up 11% today?
      • 我会在反弹中除掉金融股的call,等等看。
      • One of them will be rumor for sure - Wells Fargo to Repay TARP Without Raising New Equity
    • The Coming Deposit Insurance Bailout
    • AIG downgraded to Underperform at Sanford Bernstein; $10 target
    • Citigroup (C) has of late made up nearly one-fifth of NYSE trading volume, which could be bets that the bank won't take any further damage. Or it could be that these days it's easier to short. Short volume in Citi was 50% yesterday.
    • Future of Fannie & Freddie
    • Capmark May File for Bankruptcy After Quarterly Loss. The FDIC will likely order the firm to boost capital and liquidity, and KKR wrote their Capmark investment down to zero in March
    • 85th bank failure of the year - First Bank of Kansas City
    • 86th bank fail of the year - Banks in Illinois
    • 87th bank fail of the year - Banks in Iowa
    • 88th bank fail of the year - Platinum Community Bank of Rolling Meadows, Ill.
    • 89th bank failure of the year - First State Bank of Flagstaff, Ariz
    • US per-capital income and debt 1970 to present
    • (#105401@43)
    • more than 1,000 banks will fail in the current cycle
      "As the FDIC debates whether it'll need to hit the Treasury up for a loan, Institutional Risk Analytics - which has usually taken a grim outlook on bank prospects - now thinks that more than 1,000 banks will fail in the current cycle. With 25 down in 2008 and 94 so far this year, that just leaves another 900 or so."