如果大盘向好，FRE可能会先上2.2 2.4，但目前看做一个头肩顶的可能也不小。2F的走势跟随AIG比较紧，你可以把目标设在2.3止损设在1.8左右试试看。 -gszy(灌水888) @枫下论坛 The Rolia Forum

灌水，1.96买了fre，帮我看看图形。 -version3(怪兽); 2009-9-6 (#103959@43)

你是准备投资还是短炒一把就走？ -gszy(灌水888); 2009-9-6 (#103960@43)

想搞他几十回。都帮我分析一下。fre, fnm都会搞搞。 -version3(怪兽); 2009-9-6 (#103964@43)

如果大盘向好，FRE可能会先上2.2 2.4，但目前看做一个头肩顶的可能也不小。2F的走势跟随AIG比较紧，你可以把目标设在2.3止损设在1.8左右试试看。 -gszy(灌水888); 2009-9-7 (#103971@43)

请问2F , C 是跟什么指数有关的？ -hnuhou168(coolcool); 2009-9-8 (#104041@43)

My own 2 cents: FRE, FNM; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-7 {2319} (#103965@43)
本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛these 2 stocks have unique futures due to they are government controled;
it's more like gamble stocks rather than investment stocks;

meaning:
1) they can go down to 0$ or go up to above 10$, it all depends on eventiually how goverment handle them (some say next Feb, they will be splited, converted, whatever), the uncentainty for sure lead to the exterme prices of these 2 in the futures;
I am not that good at gamble, though last few weeks my small amount of them bring me 300% profit on my very limited personal gamble fund;

2) they are good stocks to play in very short term; but hard to predict the price; any news can make them creazy on either direction;
I knew BAC will reach 50$ in next few years from current <18$ and I can hold it and sleep sound over night; but not for these 2;

anyway, bigger risk may lead you to bigger gain but too potentially lead you to bigger loss, even total loss possible;

there future could be (just from what I can see, may very limited):
1) restructured, splited, converted to different entities (spin off the bad assets from those good ones), stock price may go 0 for bad and good up to none upper limit (if still have common share)
2) government owned not only in prefered shares but also common shares (like City (C) did)
that will increase the stability of the common share price, may eventiually lead to very high price;
(that's what I see C's future, though size increase, but still can go up, due to no other boat is safer than the one that has Gov sitting right beside you)
3) company back to independent (due to return of the TARP money when the Real-Estate tide turns)
very unlikely, due to already controlled by gov at certain level;
but anyway, the common share price will rocket up to any price possible if this can be true;
4) complete wipe-off of common shares for whatever reason, nobody want to see this, but it's on gov's call;
and you know the result if this happen;

Summary:
play with it base on your risk tolerant capacity; gamblers do big, investers go small;
Long term negative possibility 70% , positive 30%; due to usually in stock market very rare all money that lost on it can return from the same stock;

<DISCLAIM: Just my own opinion, make mind yourself>更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net

看来是daytrader的梦幻股票，是不应该持过夜的。看看明天会不会大市高开吧。 -version3(怪兽); 2009-9-7 (#103967@43)

recenlty 过夜 should be fine; but there is a news that next Feb, 2010, Gov will make mind on how to deal with FNM and FRE; better out before that; due to nobody can predict what may happen next step; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-7 (#103975@43)

very nice. Just i am wondering do you still hold BAC? I thought you were a long term investor but you also got out in last correction. -gszy(灌水888); 2009-9-7 (#103970@43)

Yeah, still have BAC, ING, BA ; you can see that from my other post (also have PLD, PEI, those R.E.I.T stocks, I see huge potentials on US Real Estate) but I cleared my FRE, FNM, ABK, AIG though still have very limited amount of ETFC -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-7 {1326} (#103972@43)
本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛eventiually, the inflations that casued by these many countries printing these huge amount of money (they all call it stimulations paln) will pretty much lead everything on price figure wise go up creasy; (recently the Gold price move up again is a sign)

stock market will hardly to pull back, due to next step if inflations appears on the stage, everything will go up; then the only thing US gov can do is to hike interest rate, then stock go up creasy together with Oil, commodity, housing, everything you can put a price tag and sell to people;

I see US Federal Reserve do no better than the Greenspan's ere, back to low interest again and maintain it for a long while; produce the blooming bubble again and burst again ;

we will see that in next few years; stock market will finally go above 14500 points (Dow) and S&P back about 1400 easily;

but that's fine, at least people will agree that O8Ma is a very successful president, like clinton that make US economy go upper trends for that many years;

so, I don't worry my long at all; I only worry that I may miss and can't filter out the right stocks to hold and make 1000% in next few years;

I believe that you agree with me, from any charts you can see that US stock market is at 20 years low; once per life opportunity;更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net

I just have no guts to hold them (FRE, FNM, AIG, etc) , if eventually they are the stocks means to grow 1000%; I admit it; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-7 (#103976@43)

a joke here; I always laugh at a post at around 9 Mar, 09; a guy bought BAC at 2.83 and sell is at 3.12 due to scare to death to hold it; I am not laughing at him but actually myself; 3 years later we will too laugh at ourself when we look back; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-7 {433} (#103973@43)
we don't worry about C and hold it when it is above 50$ (that is 2 years ago) but we will when it's 97 cents;

sometime, I just too short-sighted and very easy to be driven by the brutal MM manipulations;

I doubt that DOW will have a serious pull back; due to that so many people is expecting a pull back, then it may not happen soon; stock market should always trap people off guard;

let wait and see how it goes;

如果大盘向好，FRE可能会先上2.2 2.4，但目前看做一个头肩顶的可能也不小。2F的走势跟随AIG比较紧，你可以把目标设在2.3止损设在1.8左右试试看。

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