本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛I found out that quite a few folks in this forum believe that they can beat the market by in and out frequently; but actually nobody (somebody may, but very seldom) can beat BAC from 2.53 (worse at march, 09) to today (11 Sep, 09) around 17$, easily 5 times;

3 years later, when we look back, we probably just regret one thing;
Damn, why I just didnt buy something good at Sep, 2009 and hold it;

so many stocks are at their historical floor price;

just my own 2 cents, make mind your own;
I see your VRO should be ~8$ in 12 or 18 months of time;

I now holding more than 20 different stocks in that many industry (commodity, Oil, metal, finance, shipping, real-estate), I am going to wait for 2 to 3 years, and collect average 5 times of profit; if you ask me why I am that sure, I can't give your proof now; let wait and see;

but my idea is very simple
#1 100 year crsis is the pain for whole generation; and it will be a 100 year opportunity and blessing for whoever really do investing from now on in next few years;
#2 City (C) can go down from it's high 50 to 97Cents, why it can not go back up from 97 cents to above 10$, 20$ ? ( I mean so many good stocks are at their last 5 years 10% to 15% price, if they survive this crsis, they will go back)
so my third simple idea is to split my invest to top 5 players in their section; to ensure even if 1 or 2 fail, the rest will pay me back everything;

some samples are: DPTR, DRYS, NCS, YRCW, PLD, DDR, PEI, BZH, PMI, MBI, CENX, AA, UNG (never touch HNU.TO, it doesn't follow natural gas price) , LCC
I am looking at 300% to 500% in next few years of those guys;
if you think there risk are too high for you to hold then below can give 100% in next 2 to 3 years
BAC, ING, LEN, DHI, MS, BA

anyway, just my own 2 cents; due to I laughed myself so many times due to at March I bought C at 1.12 and sold it at 1.48 and after that never dare to chase in due to don't know where is the low of it again;更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net

Prefer FEL and even QEC over this one. I hold on to my BNP.UN and DAY.UN for now even though they have run up quite a bit. The problem with these junior gas stocks is they already priced in $5 or $6 dollar gas price. Also their bank line review is under way. I guess at one point they all have to issue new shares and things can get really ugly if gas price keeps going down. So, the best strategy is buy the best in the breed and keep it for a long time.