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similar; also good; only concerns that gas.to a little bit more times droped than UNG at the same period when natural gas down ~5.3 times

samqyang(Kingkong)
本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛GAS.TO last high was 32.35 $ sharply at 19 Jun, 2008
and so far worst was 3.82 $ sharply at 3 Sep, 2009
that is 32.35/3.82 ~= 8.46 times;

whereas UNG last high was ~ 63.15 $ at 19 Jun, 2008
and so far worst was 8.94$ sharply at 3 Sep, 2009
that is 63.15/8.94 ~= 7.06 times;

whereas, same period Natural Gas price down from 13.7 last July to recently worst 2.64 (may off a liitle bit, let me know if you can get the recent worst price of it)
and that is 13.7/2.64 ~ 5.2 times;

means though both UNG, GAS.TO claims follow the NG price but both steal money from you and me;

UNG is a littlle bit better than GAS.TO in terms of long time holding;
anyway, they are similar, reduce risk wise, hold them both should be a better idea;

plus, I didn't calculate the currency difference at these two peak and low, that may explain why GAS.TO down 8.46 times but UNG only down 7.06 times;

conclusion, in next 9 to 10 monthes, both of them go up 70% to 120% from thier so far low should be a fact from what I can see;

just my own 2 cents, your money your decision;更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net
(#104688@43)
Last Updated: 2009-9-14
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Replies, comments and Discussions:

  • in UNG 10.08 $/share first wave last week; will collect 70% to 90% of profit in next 9 to 12 months; mark at 15 Sep, 2009; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-14 {189} (#104674@43)
    this will be a fact, see you 9 months later; will update if reach there sooner;
    Natural gas price at 10 year low; at this creazy money printing world, no way; will up sharply soon;
    • 我顶风作浪在上周末买了DIP，持仓过得周末，看来是买对了. -chu.ge(在别人恐惧时贪婪); 2009-9-14 (#104675@43)
      • 趋势变了，回调是进货的时机。 -pnmk2009(pnmk2009); 2009-9-14 (#104739@43)
        • 我今天又加了，希望今天收高，明天再闯新高呢。再来个10% hehe:-) -chu.ge(在别人恐惧时贪婪); 2009-9-14 (#104745@43)
          • Closed@Day High -chu.ge(在别人恐惧时贪婪); 2009-9-14 (#104766@43)
            • 清仓HNU. Good Luck Evil lovers hehe :-) -chu.ge(在别人恐惧时贪婪); 2009-9-15 (#104809@43)
              • go ITX go! hehe :-) I'm thinking if should load HNU evil back? -chu.ge(在别人恐惧时贪婪); 2009-9-15 (#104844@43)
          • Greed makes you go insane:) -ccloafer(瓦盆洗手888); 2009-9-14 (#104771@43)
            • I am NOT greedy at all. I am just a backup of your guys. Heihei :-) -chu.ge(在别人恐惧时贪婪); 2009-9-15 (#104810@43)
    • short term wise, UNG may pull back a bit; but you know I never good at catching the extreme bottom; but long term wise, really happy can get it this cheap; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-14 {83} (#104676@43)
      besides, I have some backup cash to eat more if pull back to below my price again;
      • Better to wait one more week or two before drawing any conclusion. It's not necessarily to make it reverse being a 12 years low. Even you ferret all the evidence, it's still to early to say NG is not just repeating its old cycles since last year. -ccloafer(瓦盆洗手888); 2009-9-14 (#104679@43)
        • take note; but usually up and down sharply at the close to bottom is a sign of something postive; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-14 (#104694@43)
          • Hehe, when has it been not moving sharply? To be honest, I am inclined to agree with you temperamentally, but I know that's why I got burned from time to time physically:) I hope you are right this time, wait and see. -ccloafer(瓦盆洗手888); 2009-9-14 (#104697@43)
            • no; this time is different; may still wrong but will for sure not very seriously wrong; will explain if the bottom passed and proved in furture; I watching it last 6 months, only moves this few days due to I saw some sign I am waiting for; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-14 (#104722@43)
              • Willing to know what kind of signs you were talking about. Thanks. Currently I am trying to find some sucessful systems to put to the test. If you don't mind, I am more than happy to hear some details. -ccloafer(瓦盆洗手888); 2009-9-14 (#104736@43)
                • please abide me for a while; if prove to be the bottom passed otherwise, make no sense to provide the wrong thought now; -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-14 (#104780@43)
    • why pick up UNG but not GAS. Thanks. -informix(); 2009-9-14 (#104678@43)
      • similar; also good; only concerns that gas.to a little bit more times droped than UNG at the same period when natural gas down ~5.3 times -samqyang(Kingkong); 2009-9-14 {1122} (#104688@43)
        本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛GAS.TO last high was 32.35 $ sharply at 19 Jun, 2008
        and so far worst was 3.82 $ sharply at 3 Sep, 2009
        that is 32.35/3.82 ~= 8.46 times;

        whereas UNG last high was ~ 63.15 $ at 19 Jun, 2008
        and so far worst was 8.94$ sharply at 3 Sep, 2009
        that is 63.15/8.94 ~= 7.06 times;

        whereas, same period Natural Gas price down from 13.7 last July to recently worst 2.64 (may off a liitle bit, let me know if you can get the recent worst price of it)
        and that is 13.7/2.64 ~ 5.2 times;

        means though both UNG, GAS.TO claims follow the NG price but both steal money from you and me;

        UNG is a littlle bit better than GAS.TO in terms of long time holding;
        anyway, they are similar, reduce risk wise, hold them both should be a better idea;

        plus, I didn't calculate the currency difference at these two peak and low, that may explain why GAS.TO down 8.46 times but UNG only down 7.06 times;

        conclusion, in next 9 to 10 monthes, both of them go up 70% to 120% from thier so far low should be a fact from what I can see;

        just my own 2 cents, your money your decision;更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net
        • Thank you very much! Your posts always give me the idea. Thanks again -informix(); 2009-9-14 (#104699@43)
        • 我选GAS， -thatsmooth(顺风顺水); 2009-9-14 {37} (#104785@43)
          因为UNG溢价太高，8%， GAS溢价只有1%。

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