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他前两次连续猜错,接下去会非常谨慎的预测,按照概率算,这次猜对的可能比较大。兵法上讲,穷寇莫追,但是追一次吃了败仗,第二次就可以追了。

szs11 (Hedge)
(#108302@43)
2009-10-1
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