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祖师太真是牛心不减。不管怎么讲既然都看到1018,反弹是逃不掉的。不过我今天看了好几个股,形势不妙。别忘了失业率没有好转说明谈经济开始复苏是太乐观了。下星期二肯定明朗。trend reversal is highly likely.

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  • 牛牛你们记住这个数字:1016.48 ~ 1018.67 去填空
    本帖最后由 蓉儿 于 2009-10-1 14:15 编辑 由于今天死皮破掉黄色通道,我需要对死皮大盘做一个小结。 我看这次 MM 砸盘,意在补缺空,这个空,也就是白色箭头位置,下面有一个空,宽幅2.19,看见了吗?牛牛:1016.48 ~ 1018.67 如果填空了,就正好骑在 S 线上面。和R 线,也是 R-SR1。R-SR1 还没有破,你们慌什么,S 是主要趋势线,支撑线。这样MM 又可以沿着 S线以上,继续震荡上行,以消耗熊熊们的力量。我估计今天明天砸盘之后,会出现不少白底铺的明天的一个走势,我的剧本这样设计: 小平开,先上,小拉起,一通狂砸去补缺口,然后拉起,结束此次回调。那么明天狂砸之际,我们可以观察量的变化,如果补完缺口再拉起就可以推测,MM 在准备做一个大的右肩,而肩线大概就在 R-SR1 的位置。 只是预测参考,牛心不变, 是否白底铺,是否做空,大家明天再决定。 补充一句:目前 SMA 50 正好也在 1020.84 , EMA 50 在 1017.64 全部集中在 1018 的缺口附近,我认为有一定的意义吧。绝对不是巧合。
    • 祖师太真是牛心不减。不管怎么讲既然都看到1018,反弹是逃不掉的。不过我今天看了好几个股,形势不妙。别忘了失业率没有好转说明谈经济开始复苏是太乐观了。下星期二肯定明朗。trend reversal is highly likely.
    • 谢谢容儿赐教!Ding
    • 谢谢容儿; Ding; don't fully rely on TA 100% ; personal idea don't think 1016.48 ~ 1018.67 is that important, it may broken very easily in next few days;
      本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛it's people (including myself or most of the folks in the forum, no offense, regardless how hard we try, considering the capital power we have, we are shrimps at most if not fish worm, plus the real market maker (MM), they considered as sharks in this market, and always true, most sharks eat majority of the fishes, shrimps like us)

      People's psychological common status decide the market move;
      after that many months of fake (I call fake, meaning manipulation) news by those wall streets MMs (the job claims reduced last week bla bla ... the economics shrink at less pace bla bla ... )just so many times already too bored to believe it,

      unless the real numbers out on economics or job market (I mean the firm decrease of overall employment rate or confirmed growth on the fundamentals side), now everything is just a short term fake push up (and it will back to where the current fundamentals can support it) , the pull-back is very reasonable and is happening now;

      and I believe the pull-back just started, we will see the not good looking chart to come in next few months, I call it the <psychological fatigue normal pull-back >;

      US stock market is the best place that you can see it almost never follow the so called TA chart, only those TAs each time adjust their wave theory and try to explain what has already happened;
      and they always can comfort people and find a chart or theory that can match what happened;

      I see Chart is in people's heart, not in the stock market at all;更多精彩文章及讨论,请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net