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not too hard for this time. There are several weak reasons forbid peope to bet it down, but there are tons reason rimm could not grow. New product? manufacture move to china? fast economy?

yong(yang)

If it can't keep more than expected growth speed, hair cut is for sure and this time will be the formal turn around for rimm.
I bet it down to $80 after ER and see $60 in one month.
I never believe rimm story, but never dare to short or put, however this time, I'm 80% sure it's game over, just like former NT. It will be long term( at least one year ) short target.
If I'm right, give me a idea, which put is the most profitable ?

(#15759@43)
Last Updated: 2007-12-19

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加拿大科技龙头股RIM12月20日发布盈余报告，大家有什么展望？ -deen(Revolution2008); 2007-12-18 (#15674@43)

It may jump $10 or drop $10. Even more. The business is good, but the expectation is high too. I dare not to bet. It is too painful if we stand on the wrong side -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-18 (#15676@43)
本季盈利都不用看，直接看guidance。太多人看空RIM，如果guidance好的话，会有short squeeze. -frog123(武松他哥); 2007-12-19 (#15689@43)
down 20% friday. it will finaly lead the NAS to the down turn. -yong(yang); 2007-12-19 (#15714@43)

It is possible, but it is hard to make bets. -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-19 (#15719@43)

not too hard for this time. There are several weak reasons forbid peope to bet it down, but there are tons reason rimm could not grow. New product? manufacture move to china? fast economy? -yong(yang); 2007-12-19 {438} (#15759@43)
If it can't keep more than expected growth speed, hair cut is for sure and this time will be the formal turn around for rimm.
I bet it down to $80 after ER and see $60 in one month.
I never believe rimm story, but never dare to short or put, however this time, I'm 80% sure it's game over, just like former NT. It will be long term( at least one year ) short target.
If I'm right, give me a idea, which put is the most profitable ?

Volatility is too high, so both calls and puts are very expensive. If you bet by buying puts, you will not make any money if it drops only 1-5 bucks. You had better play after the ER comes out... -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-19 (#15765@43)
I am very happy that I did not support your analyses...I used to believe experts's analyses, but now I don't believe blindly. For earnings report, I try my best to avoid trading on it -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-20 (#15863@43)

赌ER和赌大盘走向一样危险 -frog123(武松他哥); 2007-12-20 (#15864@43)
I'm wrong. but thank you for your advise, I only bet 3 put, not too much. Otherwise, may put 10 or 20. Anyway, TIM earn more for me. Just regret yesterday, the market reverse my done deal fill. -yong(yang); 2007-12-20 (#15865@43)

$100 is the support so far. Insiders are not feeling very bullish about it, neither too bearish at this level. RIM can go sideways for over a year... -mocha(Merry Christmas!); 2007-12-19 (#15723@43)

not too hard for this time. There are several weak reasons forbid peope to bet it down, but there are tons reason rimm could not grow. New product? manufacture move to china? fast economy?

Replies, comments and Discussions:

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