This website requires Javascript to function properly. Please go to the setting of your web browser and enable Javascript for this website.

原来也一直想做 Diagonal spread , 但比如这个 spread. AIG 2008Jan 60Call 只有$1, 不足以弥补 2009 Jan 50Call (about $13) 所以一直没怎么弄清除是否划算。另

haah(1212123)

另 AIG ( 数 EW,莫怪 ) 从 2001年底的高点下来，月线上如果走 5-3-5, 现在正走最后的5, 急剧下跌浪。
第一个5简单(5浪到 A ), 第二个3复杂(3-3-5,其中5 diagonal 5 waves 为c 形成 B)。　

如果 C=A 用 Log 坐标会到 35(粗估) 因为不用 Log, 会到 20 , 好象太低了。

何不到比较明朗时再进?

(瞎说了，没长期跟踪，只是看了下图，觉得走得很归整。)

(#16425@43)
Last Updated: 2007-12-29

Replies, comments and Discussions:

I am trying to build some positions for January. Hope I can harvest some coins. -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-28 (#16296@43)

What you are looking? -fidofido(哈哈); 2007-12-28 (#16302@43)

I am buiding some long positions on AIG, MMM, NYX, DELL, RIMM, GS. No short position. I bot long term calls and then sold short calls at the same strike, or higher strike. -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-28 (#16355@43)

好奇问一下, 象RIMM, GS, GOOG这些高价股, 你一般每次买几股啊? 是否都整百股啊? 要是不整百买卖,会影响进出交易吗? -sunbeamcga(二月鱼飞); 2007-12-28 (#16381@43)

100 is standard unit. For options, we call it a contract -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-28 (#16383@43)

what's ur opinion on diagonal spread compare to covered call? currently, i only trade covered call, but never tried diagonal spread. -speed(如风); 2007-12-28 (#16382@43)

Diagonal spread need more skills. For stocks like GS and FSLR, covered calls are too expensive. -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-28 {418} (#16384@43)
I bot AIG 01/2009 $50 calls, and then sold 01/2008 $60 calls. I plan hold them for 3 weeks until January 2008 OE.

Here are my considerations. 1) AIG cleared itself of sub-prime shit and it is less likely to crash; 2) AIG's evaluation is low (PE=8). 3) AIG has moderate volatily; 4) 01/2009 won't depreciate very much if I hold them for 3 weeks. 5) If AIG goes down, I will switch to $55 call on the short side.

原来也一直想做 Diagonal spread , 但比如这个 spread. AIG 2008Jan 60Call 只有$1, 不足以弥补 2009 Jan 50Call (about $13) 所以一直没怎么弄清除是否划算。另 -haah(1212123); 2007-12-29 {334} (#16425@43)
另 AIG ( 数 EW,莫怪 ) 从 2001年底的高点下来，月线上如果走 5-3-5, 现在正走最后的5, 急剧下跌浪。
第一个5简单(5浪到 A ), 第二个3复杂(3-3-5,其中5 diagonal 5 waves 为c 形成 B)。　

如果 C=A 用 Log 坐标会到 35(粗估) 因为不用 Log, 会到 20 , 好象太低了。

何不到比较明朗时再进?

(瞎说了，没长期跟踪，只是看了下图，觉得走得很归整。)

Here are my two cents. -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-30 {751} (#16452@43)
1. I do not predict the movement of stocks based upon TA. I don't believe wave theory.

2. I know AIG is a cheap stock. Institutions will buy it when the market is turning up.

3. I know AIG is a big stock, so it's a day dream to ask for it to move up a lot in a short time.

4. I know AIG has some resistance and supports

5. I know the long call will not depreciate severely if AIG does not go up by 01/18/2008

6. I know I may be wrong in this bet, and AIG may goes down for whatever reason. If thats' case, 01/2008 $60 can be used to offset my loss a little bit

7. I believe there will be some January effects

8. Again, I believe I may be wrong, so I sold 01/2008 $60 call. Otherwise, I would just hold 01/2009 $50 call.
AIG is a stock different from AMD. I buy calls when it does down. Of course, I cannot guarantee that AIG won't go to $35, if something is wrong. -wang-lao-wu(钻石王老五); 2007-12-30 {178} (#16453@43)
Control the size of position is life line.

AIG's PE Is only 8. I don't think it will goed to $35 or $20 based upon your wave theroy prediction, unless it has some scandals.

原来也一直想做 Diagonal spread , 但比如这个 spread. AIG 2008Jan 60Call 只有$1, 不足以弥补 2009 Jan 50Call (about $13) 所以一直没怎么弄清除是否划算。另

Replies, comments and Discussions:

More Topics