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One thing is for sure. The bailout of ABK will save a big sell-off.

本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛A few days ago, Buffett made an offer to bond insuarer, many people applauded he came to save the market. The fact is he wanted to take away the most profitable business from those trapped bond insuarers. 按我们国人的说法,就是趁人之危. So one of them rejected Buffett immediately.

On Friday, it was reported 8 banks will stand out to bail out ABK. Are they saving the market? No. Why are they so nice? Actually, they are saving themselves. If ABK loses its AAA ratings, these banks will lose huge. So they were forced to contribute money to this save plan. Don't forget most of these banks have a big credit crunch themselves.

This reminds me of the LCTM story in 1998. Nine banks on the Waal Street were brought together by Rubin to contribute the money to bail out LCTM. Two of them were very unhappy, because they did not invest in lCTM. But they finally agreed to make a contribution, because the complete liquidation of LCTM would hurt them too.

One thing is for sure. The bailout of ABK will save a big sell-off.更多精彩文章及讨论,请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net
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  • One thing is for sure. The bailout of ABK will save a big sell-off.
    本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛A few days ago, Buffett made an offer to bond insuarer, many people applauded he came to save the market. The fact is he wanted to take away the most profitable business from those trapped bond insuarers. 按我们国人的说法,就是趁人之危. So one of them rejected Buffett immediately.

    On Friday, it was reported 8 banks will stand out to bail out ABK. Are they saving the market? No. Why are they so nice? Actually, they are saving themselves. If ABK loses its AAA ratings, these banks will lose huge. So they were forced to contribute money to this save plan. Don't forget most of these banks have a big credit crunch themselves.

    This reminds me of the LCTM story in 1998. Nine banks on the Waal Street were brought together by Rubin to contribute the money to bail out LCTM. Two of them were very unhappy, because they did not invest in lCTM. But they finally agreed to make a contribution, because the complete liquidation of LCTM would hurt them too.

    One thing is for sure. The bailout of ABK will save a big sell-off.更多精彩文章及讨论,请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net
    • the question is, how long will this keep ABK and other banks out of trouble. I hope it's not just temporary.
      • Frankly speaking, I think this bailout is just a dose of viagra. People will forget it in a few days. On Tuesday, we will begin worry some big themes one by one.
        • 所以说我们还是应该按熊市来做, 逢高出货?
          • We cannot predict for the market, but we should have something in mind. For me, if SPY opens $1 higher, I will loosen up
            • 你得意思:如spy高开$1, 你就认为市场会走牛?
              • I think the market will fade if it opens high.