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周末奉献一个TSX月线图。用长线的观点看问题。欢迎大家讨论

jim366(金)

几点说明
1。月线图的目的是可以将时间拉得比较长而图又看得比较清楚
2。从图上看，TSX是9月破月线的趋势
3。此抡50%的会调是10500，61。8%是9300，上一次熊市（2000）是会调到61.8%下一点点触底
4。从图上看出，今次熊市下跌斜率（陡度）比2000年的要大，是急跌双顶（2000年是V型翻转），与87，98年的比较相似
5。02年底部有7~9个月时间。

(#50387@43)
Last Updated: 2008-10-4

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周末奉献一个TSX月线图。用长线的观点看问题。欢迎大家讨论 -jim366(金); 2008-10-4 {427} (#50387@43)

几点说明
1。月线图的目的是可以将时间拉得比较长而图又看得比较清楚
2。从图上看，TSX是9月破月线的趋势
3。此抡50%的会调是10500，61。8%是9300，上一次熊市（2000）是会调到61.8%下一点点触底
4。从图上看出，今次熊市下跌斜率（陡度）比2000年的要大，是急跌双顶（2000年是V型翻转），与87，98年的比较相似
5。02年底部有7~9个月时间。

98年是双顶吗,从图中怎么看不出来呀 -ilbob(bigboy); 2008-10-4 (#50389@43)
My personal opinion is TSX will not touch the bottom until we see global and US economy recover and stable oil price. From now on, most likely we may see TSX follow DOW up and down. Since I still think DOW will reach the bottom earlier than TSX, -qkang98(john); 2008-10-4 {447} (#50392@43)
I will buy DOW every 5-10% drop pending on volume. Frankly I do not know where is bottom for DOW either. However, because I hold 80% cash, I am not concerning too much if it continue dropping. Let's remember what Buffet said how to invest in crisis:
1. "Cash combined with courage in a crisis is priceless"

2. "Dont invest in things you don't understand"

3. "Don't try to catch a falling knife until you have a handle on the risk"
10000+ is what i expect in worst case. -haifeng(海風); 2008-10-4 (#50436@43)
各位看图说话 -yuma(killerz); 2008-10-6 (#50656@43)

还看啥。dow接近支撑位了，破了就是股灾 -is4life(随波逐流); 2008-10-6 (#50661@43)

周末奉献一个TSX月线图。用长线的观点看问题。欢迎大家讨论

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