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鸡的屁(GDP)先,股票后。

Roger Brown wrote:

It is meaningless to write of Dow performance without first considering GDP performance. 1998 - 2000 the Dow was significantly overpriced with respect to GDP. The correction was made 2000 - 2002; GDP, Dow both in percent: 6, -6; 3.2, -7; 3.4, -17. 2003, 5, 25. 1973 - 1982, Age of Inflation GDP, average was 2.4 pct per year and Dow 0.3 pct per year, inflation 7.8 pct per year. GDP performance comes first, Dow responds. If President Obama and Democrats misjudge their socialist economic program and damage GDP, the Dow and all of the pension, 401k plans will also be damaged. The People will have spoken. Fair.
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  • Sell everything. Let's go to cash
    • 同意,已经全部出仓了
      • get ready for other chance.
    • 鸡的屁(GDP)先,股票后。
      Roger Brown wrote:

      It is meaningless to write of Dow performance without first considering GDP performance. 1998 - 2000 the Dow was significantly overpriced with respect to GDP. The correction was made 2000 - 2002; GDP, Dow both in percent: 6, -6; 3.2, -7; 3.4, -17. 2003, 5, 25. 1973 - 1982, Age of Inflation GDP, average was 2.4 pct per year and Dow 0.3 pct per year, inflation 7.8 pct per year. GDP performance comes first, Dow responds. If President Obama and Democrats misjudge their socialist economic program and damage GDP, the Dow and all of the pension, 401k plans will also be damaged. The People will have spoken. Fair.
      • 屁股,屁股,先屁后股,顽童皆知。
        • 炒股须知:屁股原理。
          先有屁(鸡的屁 GDP),后有股。
    • Mr. Paulson's:injecting capital directly into banks -- a sign of "failure."
      Policy makers debated how the government's capital injections should be structured, especially the question of the dividend banks would pay. Make it too high, and that risked draining firms of needed funds and scaring off other potential rescue recipients. Make it too low, and taxpayers wouldn't be compensated for their risk. Another challenge: Inject capital without scaring away private investors.

      A final deal between regulators was hashed out in Mr. Paulson's office Sunday afternoon. For Mr. Paulson, who had spent a career as an investment banker, the decision marked a reversal. Just weeks earlier, he had said that injecting capital directly into banks would appear to be a sign of "failure."
      • 好几个银行根本不需要财政部的钱,但被PALSON以爱国主义的名义强迫接受。
        • 最近几天几个银行的涨,和政府马上要注资有关么?
          • Yes. If you look at the book value of these banks, you will feel they are as cheap as Chinese cabbages. If there is any insolvency problem, however, some of them can go belly-up overnight. That's why MS dropped to $7.6 and now it has trippled.
            • After Bailout, Problems Remain
            • With so many write-downs, book value does not mean much anymore.