本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛gr commented:
December 8th, 2008 at 7:56 am
Gannfann’s numbers and comments for 12/08/08:
916-918 3rd resistance
900-902 2nd resistance
886-888 1st resistance
858-860 1st support
The S&P should continue on the upside attempting a last gasp before the next leg down. Prices have been bouncing between a trading range for some time and even bad news is producing rallies. This is denial personified and shows the desperation that is rampant in this marketplace. In my mind nothing has changed in a fundamental way or the long term technical picture. This area is where prices needed to make a final stand if we are to see any fake out rally. I am seeing a possible change in trend that could occur on December 9th so this may just be a quick move up and break to the downside again. Traders need to keep in mind that prices have to run its course and even in the biggest declines in history there are always counter rallies that exist. It is my feeling that this will not last too long and the primary trend will resume again. Bears must be patient because this leg will be very big (if my 400 target is reached) and will require distribution to take place.
This should be the last rally before a new break to new lows but traders need to understand that many times this is a drawn out grinding process. Patience is important because rallies do occur and this will give some go entries and take more risk out of the short. Traders must not get caught shorting early and must let this run its course.
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